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Tesla (TSLA): Why Elliott Wave supports higher prices toward $774

Tesla (TSLA): Why Elliott Wave supports higher prices toward $774

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) remains one of the most closely followed companies in global markets. While many investors focus on electric vehicle deliveries and short-term earnings, Tesla’s long-term growth story extends far beyond the automotive sector.

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US EQUITY INDICES

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is a price-weighted average of 30 most-traded stocks traded in the United States (US). It is often viewed as representative of “old economy” stocks and is considered a leading indicator for international investment.

While the Dow reflects the big money, the Standard and Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is often the preferred gauge of equity markets due to its broad market coverage. The S&P 500 is a market value-weighted index comprising 500 large US stocks, covering about 75% of the US equity market.

The Nasdaq Composite is highly followed in the US as a performance indicator for technology and growth companies. The Nasdaq-100, which includes 100 of the largest non-financial companies in the Nasdaq Composite, accounts for about 80% of the index weighting of the Nasdaq Composite. The Nasdaq Composite is a capitalization-weighted index and it includes both US and non-US companies listed on the Nasdaq stock market. The NASDAQ represents the speculative retail money.

Generally speaking, a rise in the US equity markets tends to increase investors' risk appetite attracting foreign investment to the US equity market and pumping the US Dollar (USD) higher.


EUROPEAN EQUITY INDICES

Germany DAX - Daily

UK FTSE 100 - Daily

The DAX is a stock market index consisting of the 40 major German blue chip companies trading on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It is a total return index and prices are taken from the Xetra trading venue.

The Financial Times Stock Exchange 100 (FTSE 100), informally known as the “Footsie”, is a market capitalization-weighted index representing the top 100 blue-chip companies on the London Stock Exchange. The index represents over 80% of the total market capitalization in the United Kingdom (UK). Stocks in the FTSE 100 are free-float weighted, ensuring that only the investable opportunity set is included in the index.


JAPANESE EQUITY INDICES

The Nikkei 225, commonly called the Nikkei, is a stock market index for the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE). It is a price-weighted index, operating in Japanese Yen (JPY), that measures the performance of 225 highly capitalized and liquid publicly owned companies in Japan. It has been calculated daily by the Nihon Keizai Shimbun (Nikkei) newspaper since 1970.

Nikkei225 - Daily

Relationships between stocks and currencies

Currencies are probably the most difficult asset class to fit into a consistent intermarket model. For instance, when investors purchase stocks from a particular country, they must pay in the local currency, increasing the demand for that currency. Conversely, a strong currency can make bonds and stocks more attractive to foreign investors.

However, the correlation between stocks and currencies is not always clear. There are often response lags between the reactions of Forex and equities markets, leaving investors holding foreign equities exposed to exchange rate fluctuations.

This correlation is also fragile among international equity markets. The so-called global divergences occur when the stock market in one country starts performing better than the stock market in another country. This is often driven by currency capital flows from the country with the weaker stock market to the country with the stronger one.

US Dollar Index - Daily


Latest STOCK INDICES Analysis

Editors' picks

EUR/USD: Winds of change blowing into the Federal Reserve

EUR/USD: Winds of change blowing into the Federal Reserve Premium

The EUR/USD pair fell towards 1.1417, its lowest since last March, as the US Dollar (USD) soared following the first Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting chaired by Kevin Warsh. EUR/USD got to recover some ground on Friday, finishing the week, however, well below the 1.1500 mark.
Gold: Hawkish Fed leads to third consecutive weekly loss

Gold: Hawkish Fed leads to third consecutive weekly loss Premium

Gold (XAU/USD) opened with a bullish gap and registered strong gains in the first half of the week, but a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) spoiled the party. Mid-tier macroeconomic data releases from the United States (US) and changes in crude Oil prices could impact XAU/USD’s action in the near term, while the technical outlook suggests that the bearish bias remains intact.
British Pound rebounds as holiday-thinned trade slows USD bulls

British Pound rebounds as holiday-thinned trade slows USD bulls

The Pound Sterling recovers some ground after reaching a three-month low on Friday at 1.3163, sponsored by the Fed’s hawkish tilt, but edges up 0.18% amid thin trading conditions due to a holiday in the US. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3226, yet it is poised to end with weekly losses of 1.25%. Market sentiment remains fragile despite the recovery from the US-Iran deal.
US Dollar: The last mile just got longer

US Dollar: The last mile just got longer Premium

A very auspicious week saw the US Dollar (USD) trade with robust gains, rapidly leaving behind the prior pullback and sending the US Dollar Index (DXY) to levels last traded in mid-May 2025, past the 101.00 barrier on Friday.
Week ahead – Fed’s hawkish tilt and Iran deal turn focus to PCE inflation and PMIs

Week ahead – Fed’s hawkish tilt and Iran deal turn focus to PCE inflation and PMIs

US PCE inflation data eyed after Warsh’s surprise hawkish debut. June PMIs in the spotlight too as US-Iran deal eases energy crunch. CPI data for Australia, Canada and Tokyo also on tap.

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