USD/CAD Forecast and News


USD/CAD is forming a triangle pattern above 1.4000 support area

The US Dollar stalls at the 1.4050 area against the Canadian Dollar on Tuesday. The pair’s rebound from last week’s lows at the 1.3990 area failed to find follow-through above 1.4060, which leaves price action treading towards the peak of a descending triangle pattern.

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USD/JPY turns lower to near 157.50 amid subdued USD

USD/JPY turns lower to near 157.50 amid subdued USD

USD/JPY turns lower to near 157.50 in Asia on Wednesday, despite the release of hawkish BoJ June meeting Minutes and rising Japanese wages. A broadly subdued US Dollar, amid US-Iran peace deal hopes, weighs on the pair amid looming intervention risks.

AUD/USD eases from two-month highs above 0.7050 after weak China's PMI

AUD/USD eases from two-month highs above 0.7050 after weak China's PMI

AUD/USD is seeing fresh selling pressure, easing from two-month highs near 0.7055 in the Asian session on Wednesday, following the release of weak Chinese RatingDog Services PMI for July. The pair also faces headwinds from a modest uptick in the US Dollar amid hawkish Fed commentary and US-Iran uncertainty. Mideast headlines and US ISM Services PMI remain in focus today.

Gold retakes $4,100, cheers US-Iran peace deal progress

Gold retakes $4,100, cheers US-Iran peace deal progress

Gold is catching a fresh bid, retaking $4,100 in the Asian session on Wednesday. Optimism over a potential US-Iran peace deal and the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz keep the US Dollar undermined, helping the bullion to resume its previous rebound ahead of US ISM Services PMI data.

Ethereum holds steady below $1,900 as retail distribution rises

Ethereum holds steady below $1,900 as retail distribution rises

Ethereum (ETH) continued trading flat on Tuesday following modestly increasing exchange net flows and continued distribution across retail wallets. Ethereum on-chain data shows mixed sentiment across several wallet cohorts.
RBI set to keep interest rates unchanged as inflation risks persist

RBI set to keep interest rates unchanged as inflation risks persist

The Reserve Bank of India is set to announce its bi-monthly monetary policy decision on Wednesday at 10:00 AM IST (04:30 GMT), another meeting coming at a time when uncertainty remains high over the duration and economic fallout of the ongoing Middle East conflict.

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INFLUENTIAL ORGANIZATIONS AND PEOPLE FOR THE USD/CAD


Bank of Canada (BoC)

The Bank of Canada (BoC) is the nation's central bank. Its principal role, as defined in the Bank of Canada Act, is "to promote the economic and financial welfare of Canada." The bank's responsibilities are divided into four main areas:

The Bank of Canada (BoC) sets interest rates and manages monetary policy at eight scheduled meetings a year and ad hoc emergency meetings that are held as required. The BoC's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means keeping inflation at between 1-3%. Its main tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high interest rates will usually result in a stronger Canadian Dollar (CAD) and vice versa. Other tools used include quantitative easing and tightening.

The Federal Reserve (Fed)

The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States (US) and it has two main targets: to maintain the unemployment rate at its lowest possible levels and to keep inflation around 2%. The Federal Reserve System's structure is composed of the presidentially appointed Board of Governors and the partially appointed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC organizes eight scheduled meetings in a year to review economic and financial conditions. It also determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. The FOMC Minutes, which are released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve weeks after the latest meeting, are a guide to the future US interest-rate policy.


Kevin Warsh

Kevin Warsh took office as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve in May 2026, for a four-year term ending in 2030. His term as a member of the Board of Governors will expire in May 2040. Warsh, born in Albany (New York) on April 13, 1970, is an American financier and attorney who already served as a member of the Fed Board of Governors from 2006 to 2011 and was significantly involved in the central bank's response to the financial crisis. Before that, he served as a special assistant to the president for economic policy and the executive secretary of the National Economic Council under President George W. Bush.

Tiff Macklem

Tiff Macklem was born in Montreal, Quebec, in 1961. He was appointed Governor of the Bank of Canada effective June 3, 2020, for a seven-year term. He graduated from Queen's University with a bachelor's degree in economics and completed a master's degree and a PhD in economics, both from the University of Western Ontario.

Before becoming Governor, Macklem served as a director of the Bank of Nova Scotia and chair of its risk committee. He is chair of the Group of Governors and Heads of Supervision, the oversight body of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, and co-chair of the Financial Stability Board's Regional Consultative Group for the Americas.

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About USD/CAD

The USD/CAD represents how many Canadian Dollars (the quote currency) are needed to purchase one US Dollar (the base currency). The nickname “Loonie” originates from the Gold-colored Canadian one-dollar coin introduced in 1987 and produced by the Royal Canadian Mint in Winnipeg.
The coin reverse features a common loon, a bird found throughout Canada, while the obverse displays the portrait of Queen Elizabeth II, the nation's former head of state.

THE IMPORTANCE OF OIL FOR THE ‘LOONIE’

The USD/CAD is one of the three "commodity pairs", alongside AUD/USD and NZD/USD. These pairs are closely tied to commodity price fluctuations, particularly Oil.

Canada, known as a resource-based economy, is a major producer and supplier of Oil. Its leading export market is the United States, making the Canadian dollar (CAD) particularly sensitive to US consumption data and economic health.

Rising Oil prices typically have a negative effect on the USD and a positive effect on the CAD.

ASSETS THAT INFLUENCE USD/CAD THE MOST

  • Commodities: As previously mentioned, Oil is the primary focus, but traders should also consider Gold and Natural Gas.

  • Currencies: The Japanese Yen (JPY) and the Euro (EUR). Another important group of influent pairs includes: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF and NZD/USD.
  • Bonds: CSB (Canada Savings Bonds), CPB (Canada Premium Bonds) and T-Note 10Y (10-year US Treasury note).