Forex Analysis
Latest Analysis
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD bulls have the upper hand amid divergent RBA-Fed outlooks
The AUD/USD consolidates the previous day's hawkish RBA-inspired gains above the 0.7000 mark, as a slight deterioration in risk sentiment benefits the safe-haven US Dollar and acts as a headwind for the Aussie. However, the diverging Fed-RBA rate paths favor bulls, suggesting that any corrective slide is more likely to get bought into and remain limited.
EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.1800
EUR/USD keeps the fresh bid bias around the 1.1800 region as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. The pair’s decent bounce comes on the back of fresh downside pressure on the US Dollar as investors continue to fade the so-called “Warsh trade”. Next of note on the euro docket will be the preliminary inflation data in the euro zone on Wednesday.
FXS SIGNALS
Deeper dive
Five good reasons to be positive about Europe in 2026 (and beyond)
Europe is getting better and better. It has not been spared shocks, notably the war in Ukraine – its impact on energy prices is largely responsible for German stagnation – and political uncertainty in France, which affected French GDP growth in 2025. But Europe is overcoming these difficulties.
Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair
We know from our many client discussions that there appears to be at least some degree of comfort with a Warsh led Fed vs. the other choices.
The Fed is heading for an extended pause, unlike the Bank of Japan
The FOMC decided to keep interest rates steady at 3.5% – 3.75% at its 27–28 January meeting, following three consecutive rate cuts at the end of 2025.
upcoming calendar events
REAL-TIME RATES
CRYPTO KEYS
Ripple slides as low retail, institutional demand weigh
Ripple edges lower, trading marginally below $1.60 at the time of writing on Tuesday as bulls and bears battle for control. The cross-border remittance token rose to $1.66 on Monday, but profit-taking and risk-off sentiment in the broader crypto market led to the ongoing correction.
Bitcoin recovers slightly amid ETF inflows, Strategy accumulation
Bitcoin price steadies at $78,000 on Tuesday after rising 2.30% the previous day, following last week’s massive correction. US-listed spot ETFs record an inflow of $561.89 million on Monday, while Strategy adds 855 BTC to its reserve.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP recovery stalls amid mixed ETF flows
Bitcoin holds above $78,000 but struggles to extend its recovery amid ETF inflows. Ethereum trades under pressure below the $2,300 immediate hurdle, undermined by weakening technical structure.