Forex Forecast Polls


The Forex Forecast is a currency sentiment tool that highlights our selected experts' near and medium term mood and calculates trends according to Friday's 15:00 GMT price. The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.



Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: US President Donald Trump judgment day has come

EUR/USD: US President Donald Trump judgment day has come

The EUR/USD pair settled around 1.1160, down for the week and closing October with losses. The US Dollar (USD) advanced through the first half of the week but changed course after the Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy announcement, then fell further after the European Central Bank (ECB) reported the same decision. The Greenback regained some poise on Friday, as risk aversion took the lead.
European Central Bank faces 3-year-high inflation at 3.8%

European Central Bank faces 3-year-high inflation at 3.8%

The European Central Bank (ECB) faces a difficult monetary policy environment as Eurozone inflation reached 3.8% in September, its highest level in three years and almost twice the central bank's 2% target.
Bitcoin: Binance security breach and hawkish Fed push BTC lower

Bitcoin: Binance security breach and hawkish Fed push BTC lower

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to weaken this week, down more than 3% and heading for its fourth straight weekly loss. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is facing a bearish outlook, fueled by a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) outlook at the October meeting and a reported $6.3 billion hack at Binance, which is driving risk aversion and triggering heavy liquidations.
Week ahead – Central bank and earnings bonanza could roil markets

Week ahead – Central bank and earnings bonanza could roil markets

Fed, ECB and BoJ to sit on the sidelines after September hikes. But RBNZ and BoC poised to lift borrowing costs. Inflation data out of the US, Japan, Australia to also be important.

A metal hidden in your car exhaust: How Rhodium exploded way above Gold and Platinum

A metal hidden in your car exhaust: How Rhodium exploded way above Gold and Platinum

For a brief moment in 2021, Rhodium became one of the hottest assets on the planet. The little-known precious metal surged to nearly $30,000 per ounce, climbing far above Gold and, at times, becoming more expensive than luxury watches, high-end sports cars and even some cryptocurrencies on a per-ounce basis.

Gold: Bears dominate even as US yields push lower ahead of midterm election

Gold: Bears dominate even as US yields push lower ahead of midterm election

Gold (XAU/USD) registered gains for the first three days of this week only to erase them in the second half and to drop to a fresh 2026-low below $3,900. Next week’s economic calendar will offer key macroeconomic data releases from the United States (US), which could trigger the next directional action in the precious metal.

WHAT IS THE FOREX FORECAST POLL?

The Forex Forecast Poll is a sentiment tool that highlights near- and medium-term price expectations from leading market experts.

  • Unique sentiment indicator with a 5-year history
  • For 10 currency pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, GBPJPY, EURJPY, EURGBP)
  • Survey conducted every Friday and published at 15:00 GMT
  • Serves all time horizons: 1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter - includes an average price for each time horizon
  • Followed by traders, market commentators as well as academics

The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.

 

HOW TO READ THE GRAPHS?

Besides the table with all participants’ individual prediction, a graphic representation aggregates and visualizes the data: the Bullish/Bearish/Sideways line shows the percentage of our contributors on each of these outlook biases.

This graph is available for each time horizon (1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter). We also indicate the average price forecast as well as the average bias.

WHY SHOULD I USE IT?

Our unique Forex Forecast poll offers you:

  • A sentiment indicator which delivers actionable price levels, not merely “mood” or “positioning” indications. Traders can check if there is unanimity among the surveyed experts - if there is excessive speculator sentiment driving a market - or if there are divergences among them. When sentiment is not at extremes, traders get actionable price targets to trade upon. When there is deviation between actual market rate and value reflected in forecasted rate, there is usually an opportunity to enter the market.
  • No lag in the data: Contrary to other indicators, there is no delay.
  • Significant sentiment data, based on a representative sample of 25 to 50 leading trading advisors for 5 years. Do not follow a single guru but rather a balanced group of well chosen experts. The Forex Forecast Poll offers a condensed version of several expert's opinions. Only outlooks are considered that have been committed to publication and therefore have an influence on the market.
  • A tool for Contrarian thinking: People instinctively follow the impulses of the crowd. Sentiment indicators, in turn, lead to “contrarian” thinking. You can read sentiment extremes and avoid being one of the herd. Contrast own opinions and price outlook with a group of leading trading advisors and money managers.
  • A tool to build strategies upon prediction data: Find patterns data for instance if a trend is gaining or losing energy.
EUR/USD Forecast GBP/USD Forecast USD/JPY Forecast AUD/USD Forecast
USD/CAD Forecast GBP/JPY Forecast NZD/USD Forecast EUR/JPY Forecast