US DOLLAR INDEX Forecast and News
US Dollar bulls capped at 97.75 previous support
The US Dollar Index is trimming gains on Tuesday, trading at 97.45 at the time of writing after failing to extend gains past a previous support level, now turned resistance, at the 97.75 area. The Greenback bottomed at four-year lows near 95.50 last week, but has been paring losses supported by investors’ relief after US President Donald Trump picked Kevin Warsh to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair from May.
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AUD/USD bulls have the upper hand amid divergent RBA-Fed outlooks
The AUD/USD consolidates the previous day's hawkish RBA-inspired gains above the 0.7000 mark, as a slight deterioration in risk sentiment benefits the safe-haven US Dollar and acts as a headwind for the Aussie. However, the diverging Fed-RBA rate paths favor bulls, suggesting that any corrective slide is more likely to get bought into and remain limited.
EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.1800
EUR/USD keeps the fresh bid bias around the 1.1800 region as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. The pair’s decent bounce comes on the back of fresh downside pressure on the US Dollar as investors continue to fade the so-called “Warsh trade”. Next of note on the euro docket will be the preliminary inflation data in the euro zone on Wednesday.
Gold recovers above $4,950 as US-Iran tensions boost safe-haven demand
Gold price trades in positive territory near $4,985 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal extends the rebound after a historic and volatile sell-off last week. Traders weigh the next round of US economic signals and the broader demand for safe-haven assets.
Crypto winter began in January 2025, but end is near: Bitwise
The crypto market has been in a "full-blown" winter season since January 2025, following a 39% and 53% drop in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) prices from their all-time highs over the past few months, according to Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan.
Gold and silver recovery continues, but equities sink as tech is shunned
The risk recovery is on pause as we move through Tuesday. After signs that a recovery in precious metals could boost overall risk appetite earlier today, a nasty sell off in tech stocks has pushed the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 down by 1.7% and 1.1% respectively.
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US DOLLAR INDEX
The US Dollar Index (DXY, USDX) measures the value of the United States Dollar relative to
a basket of foreign currencies. It is a weighted geometric mean of the dollar’s value relative to the following
select currencies: Euro (57.6% weight), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish
Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%).
The index started in 1973, following the dissolution of the Bretton Woods
system, with a base value of 100.00. Values are relative to this base – for instance, a current reading of 99.800
would indicate that the dollar has depreciated by 0.2% since the start of the index.
US Dollar Index on Wikipedia
INFLUENTIAL ORGANIZATIONS AND ECONOMIC DATA FOR THE US DOLLAR INDEX
The Federal Reserve (Fed)
The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States (US) and it has two main targets: to maintain the unemployment rate at its lowest possible levels and to keep inflation around 2%. The Federal Reserve System's structure is composed of the presidentially appointed Board of Governors and the partially appointed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC organizes eight scheduled meetings in a year to review economic and financial conditions. It also determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. The FOMC Minutes, which are released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve weeks after the latest meeting, are a guide to the future US interest-rate policy.
Fed official website, on X and Facebook
The US Government
The US Government and its Treasury Department impact the US Dollar Index. Events such as administration statements, budgets, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the DXY.
US Gross Domestic Product
US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) refers to the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States. It serves as a gross measure of market activity, indicating the pace at which the nation's economy is growing or contracting. Generally, a high reading or better-than-expected number is considered positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is seen as negative.