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USD/JPY keeps the bid tone around 163.00

The selling pressure around the Japanese Yen remains unabated on Tuesday, lifting USD/JPY above the key 163.00 hurdle for the first time since December 1986. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of the stronger US Dollar and higher US Treasury yields, all amid steady geopolitical uncertainty.

AUD/USD clings to gains around 0.7000

AUD/USD is now giving away some of its earlier gains and recedes toward the 0.7000 region ahead of the opening bell in Asia. Indeed, the pair now advances modestly, adding to Monday’s uptick and challenging the area of multi-week highs despite the better tone in the Greenback. On Wednesday, Westpac will release its Leading Index gauge.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity

Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).

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DEEPER DIVE

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?

The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.

2.50%: Why the Kiwi's first hike in three years is a wager on a number nobody can see

The RBNZ raised the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 2.50% at 02:00 GMT on Wednesday, its first hike in three years and the moment the bank that cut deeper than any G10 peer last cycle turned to face the other way.

Bye, forward guidance: How to trade when central banks choose silence

Central banks have spent years telling markets what might come next. Now, traders face the possibility that they say a lot less. From the Fed to the ECB and the BoE, policymakers are pushing back against forward guidance, arguing that the current world demands more flexibility.

CRYPTOCURRENCIES

XRP extends recovery as on-chain activity grows

Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH continues July uptrend with 20% rise after triggering buy signal

Ethereum (ETH) has gained 3% on Tuesday, extending its July gains above 20% after key on-chain indicators highlighted a resumption of buying activity. The strong performance so far in July comes a few days after ETH triggered the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Buy signal. ETH has been up by roughly 22% since the signal.

Chainlink becomes top 20 best performer, 3 reasons behind the move

Chainlink (LINK) has become the best-performing asset in the top 20 this week, leading every other major cryptocurrency. The cryptocurrency jumped 10.18% to $8.71, its highest level since early June. Three major factors explain the double-digit rise over the past week.

STOCKS

Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) Elliott Wave signals double correction toward 684 [Video]

The short‑term Elliott Wave view on the Nasdaq 100 ETF shows that the instrument is correcting the cycle from the March 30, 2026 low. The decline from the June 3, 2026 all‑time high continues, with the extreme target zone defined by the 100%–161.8% Fibonacci extension. This area lies between $646 and $684 and represents the next logical support cluster within the ongoing correction.

Nasdaq 100 rebound looks strong… or is it just a trap?

The Nasdaq 100 spent the past few sessions recovering strongly from its November lows, rebounding from 24,307 and climbing back into the 25,100–25,150 mid-range zone. While the candles look convincing, the broader picture reveals a different story: the index remains trapped inside a 4H range structure.

WEEKLY FORECAST

EUR/USD: ECB decision unlikely to rescue the Euro

The EUR/USD pair has shown little progress over the last few days, seesawing around the 1.1450 mark throughout the week to finish a handful of pips below the level. Mounting tensions in the Middle East pushed investors into cautious mode despite temporary relief from macro data.

British Pound slips for second straight day as Oil spike revives inflation fears

The Pound Sterling retreats during the North American session, down 0.22% against the Greenback, as geopolitical tensions remained high, triggering a jump in Oil prices and heightening fears of a reacceleration of inflation. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3449 after peaking near 1.3480.

Gold: Bearish pressure builds up as Middle East tensions offset USD weakness

Gold (XAU/USD) struggled to benefit from the broad-based selling pressure surrounding the US Dollar (USD) as tensions in the Middle East escalated further. The preliminary July Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) from the United States (US) will be the only data release that has the potential to trigger a market reaction next week.

Bitcoin’s potential recovery in the second half hinges on these 4 catalysts

Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen over 34% in the first half of this year as the King Crypto failed to capitalize on a good semester for risk assets despite the woes from the Iran war.

Forecasting the coming week: ECB decision, UK inflation, and global PMIs to drive markets

The upcoming week will be dominated by the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate decision, United Kingdom (UK) inflation and labor market figures, and preliminary global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data. Australian employment, New Zealand inflation and Canadian CPI figures will also attract attention.

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