EUR/USD faces strong resistance around 1.1500
EUR/USD extends its intraday rebound and moves closer to the 1.1500 zone, where it has met some decent resistance so far on Monday. A firmer risk appetite, supported by growing optimism that the US may assemble a coalition to secure the Strait of Hormuz, is weighing on the US Dollar and helping the pair edge higher.
WTI remains on the back foot near $94.00/bbl
WTI prices are retreating markedly on Monday, trading near the $94.00 mark per barrel. Traders, in the meantime, appear to be reassessing supply risks as hopes grow that potential disruptions could be contained, after President Trump called on allies to help secure the Strait of Hormuz.
Gold breaches below $5,000, hits four-week lows
Gold comes under extra selling pressure, breaking below the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce to reach multi-week lows on Monday. Non-yielding assets such as gold remain under pressure as rising energy prices fuel inflation concerns, reducing expectations that the Fed and other major central banks will move forward with interest rate cuts.
USD/JPY bounces off lows, back above 159.00
USD/JPY remains under bearish pressure, although it manages to regain the 159.00 hurdle and above on Monday. The Japanese Yen draws support after Japan’s finmin Katayama intensified verbal intervention against the currency’s recent sharp depreciation, fuelling speculation that authorities could step into the FX market.
DEEPER DIVE
Gold is sending a message to markets Premium
Gold has a habit of moving before the macro narrative becomes obvious. What are its recent price moves telling us? In recent weeks, the precious metal has been quietly regaining momentum, even as interest rate expectations remain uncertain and global growth signals stay mixed.
How strong is too strong for the Swiss Franc? Premium
The Swiss Franc is once again approaching levels that tend to make policymakers uncomfortable. With EUR/CHF drifting near 0.90 and USD/CHF slipping toward the mid-0.77 area, markets are beginning to ask a familiar question: At what point does currency strength become a policy problem for the Swiss National Bank?
Gas prices are rising again, and that hurts Europe’s inflation fight Premium
Europe could be facing a familiar economic challenge: inflation caused by imports. The rise of energy costs is enough to revive an uncomfortable question for policymakers: Is the ghost of stagflation coming back?
CRYPTOCURRENCIES
Ripple extends bullish momentum as sentiment improves
Ripple (XRP) is extending gains, trading above $1.47 at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token appears to be tapping into positive market sentiment, as cryptocurrency prices have broadly risen, shrugging off the war in the Middle East.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rise on renewed retail interest
The cryptocurrency market is experiencing renewed retail and institutional interest, with major assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple edging higher. After reaching a monthly high of $74,450, Bitcoin has adjusted to trade above $73,000 at the time of writing on Monday.
Bitcoin extends gains after third consecutive week of ETF inflows
Bitcoin price extends gains on Monday after breaking above the upper consolidation range it had been trading since early February. US-listed spot ETFs recorded an inflow of over $760 million last week, marking the third consecutive week of positive flows.
STOCKS
Some Monday reversal?
Friday‘s premarket rebound continued not too long after PCE reading, VIX attempted to reach European morning highs, and the market rolled over for two hours, nipping an oversold bounce (that would have coincided with daily defence of an important level in the percentage of stocks trading above their
Nasdaq 100 rebound looks strong… or is it just a trap?
The Nasdaq 100 spent the past few sessions recovering strongly from its November lows, rebounding from 24,307 and climbing back into the 25,100–25,150 mid-range zone. While the candles look convincing, the broader picture reveals a different story: the index remains trapped inside a 4H range structure.
WEEKLY FORECAST
EUR/USD: War escalates alongside inflation ahead of Fed, ECB Premium
The EUR/USD pair fell to fresh 2026 lows in the 1.1430 region, settling not far above the level, as the US Dollar (USD) soared amid war-related fears as the Middle East crisis escalates on a daily basis.
GBP/USD: Pound Sterling remains bearish while under 200-day SMA Premium
The Pound Sterling (GBP) remained vulnerable while in a bearish consolidation phase against the US Dollar (USD) below the 1.3500 threshold.
Gold: Bearish pressure builds up as inflation fears lift USD Premium
For the second consecutive week, Gold (XAU/USD) failed to benefit from the risk-averse market atmosphere and registered losses as growing inflation fears boosted the US Dollar (USD).
Bitcoin: Outperformance set to extend as ETF inflows stay strong despite war fears
Bitcoin (BTC) shows strength so far this week, trading above $71,000 on Friday, despite continued uncertainty stemming from the prolonged US-Iran war.
US Dollar: The King is rising again – Here’s what’s driving it Premium
The US Dollar is quietly regaining momentum. With global tensions flaring up again, the dollar is once more proving its worth as a safe haven for investors around the globe.
Week ahead – Geopolitics drive markets as central banks turn more hawkish
Geopolitics and oil price dominate market sentiment. Dollar strength could linger if Middle East conflict escalates; could gold follow suit? Seven central banks meet next week; the RBA is closest to a rate hike. Fed and ECB to remain cautious; SNB could surprise with negative rates.
EDUCATION
Battle-tested opening range breakout for day traders
Have you ever tried trading the opening range break but ended up confused, stopped out, or just guessing where to enter? That's not a discipline problem. That's a strategy problem — and it's costing you money every single morning.
Process over prediction
Retail trading culture often revolves around prediction. Where is price going next? Is this the breakout? Has the reversal started?
PRESS RELEASES
IUX publishes market insight on Gold and Silver following Federal Reserve policy signals
Global multi-asset trading platform IUX has released a market insight analyzing the impact of recent Federal Reserve policy signals on gold and silver markets.
PrimeXBT launches PXTrader 2.0, bringing crypto and traditional markets into one trading platform
PrimeXBT, a global multi-asset broker and crypto asset service provider, announced the launch of PXTrader 2.0, a major upgrade to its native trading platform that combines crypto derivatives and traditional CFD markets, giving traders access to more than 350 instruments from a single account.
STARTRADER app introduces One-Tap Trading and mobile platform enhancements
STARTRADER App has introduced a series of updates to its mobile trading application designed to enhance trading efficiency and platform performance.