EUR/USD turns positive above 1.1730
EUR/USD keeps pushing harder in the latter part of Monday’s NA session, flirting with the area of multi-week highs in the 1.1730-1.1740 band. The pair’s recovery comes as the US Dollar’s selling pressure accelerates while market participants continue to closely follow developments from the breakdown in US–Iran peace talks and fresh tensions around the Strait of Hormuz.
Gold consolidates daily losses above $4,700
Gold picks up some traction and trims some of its ealier losses, retesting the area above the $4,700 mark per troy ounce on Monday. The yellow metal’s modest retracement comes in response to investors’ reassessment of the potential Fed rate path in light of increasing concerns over global inflation, all following the Middle East crisis.
WTI deflates below $100.00/bbl
Prices of the barrel of WTI now lose part of their initial shine, breaching below the $100.00 threshold amid the better sentiment around the risk complex and the Greenback’s reversal. The resumption of the upside bias in crude oil comes after President Trump warned he had instructed the navy to blockade “any or all ships trying to enter or leave” the Strait of Hormuz.
EUR/HUF drops to February 2022 lows as Hungary election lifts Forint
EUR/HUF drops sharply to its lowest level since February 2022 as election results in Hungary boost the Forint. Strong mandate for Péter Magyar fuels optimism over policy shift and EU ties.
DEEPER DIVE
The Iran war may be over, inflation is definitely not Premium
Euphoria. That’s the best way to describe the market reaction to Tuesday's headlines about the US-Iran two-week ceasefire. But deeper knowledge of the situation and reading between the lines, the “agreement” shows the truce is as fragile as it could be, and fulfilled with conditions yet to be met by all parties.
The Iran war won’t save the US Dollar Premium
The US Dollar is performing relatively well as investors have turned to it as the go-to place amid escalating geopolitical tensions. While the safe-haven card can work as a short-term tailwind, fundamental problems such as the US twin deficit problem remain untackled, and these could start to matter more as the year unfolds.
3.4% in 12 months: what are US consumers bracing for?
The Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York's Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE) for March showed one-year-ahead inflation expectations jumping to 3.4%, up 0.4 percentage points from February's 3.0% reading.
CRYPTOCURRENCIES
Ripple risks extending decline amid extreme fear sentiment, rising uncertainty
Ripple (XRP) is trading sideways around $1.32 at the time of writing on Monday, reflecting a dominant risk-off mood and a technical structure that continues to deteriorate.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP struggle for direction amid US-Iran failed negotiations
The cryptocurrency market remains on edge on Monday, weighed down by weak sentiment following the collapse of negotiations to end the war between the US and Iran over the weekend.
Pi Network extends gradual downtrend amid risk-off markets, lack of catalysts
Pi Network shows muted consolidation above $0.1600 on Monday as downside risk persists. Investor confidence weakens as CEXs record roughly 2 million PI tokens in inflows over the past 24 hours, suggesting a near-term sell-off.
STOCKS
Finally an easy-going weekend
S&P 500 rose following not crushingly high CPI, (correctly) betting on the Fed not to overplay the hawkish hand, and not to go the rate hikes path given the job market status. The dominant factor though have been the Pakistan negotiations to wrap up somehow the Iran war while markets are looking past Hormuz not being truly open yet.
Nasdaq 100 rebound looks strong… or is it just a trap?
The Nasdaq 100 spent the past few sessions recovering strongly from its November lows, rebounding from 24,307 and climbing back into the 25,100–25,150 mid-range zone. While the candles look convincing, the broader picture reveals a different story: the index remains trapped inside a 4H range structure.
WEEKLY FORECAST
EUR/USD: Middle East headlines to set the tone Premium
The EUR/USD pair came back to life this week, settling a handful of pips above the 1.1700 mark. Risk-on flows began late Tuesday, when United States (US) President Donald Trump withdrew his threat to destroy Iran.
Gold: US-Iran ceasefire uncertainty keeps bulls at bay Premium
Gold (XAU/USD) posted another week of gains as headlines from the Middle East remained the main driver for the precious metal and will continue to do so in the short term.
GBP/USD: Technicals turn slightly bullish for Pound Sterling amid Mideast drama Premium
The Pound Sterling (GBP) staged a stellar recovery from near four-month lows against the US Dollar (USD) and clinched two-month highs just shy of the 1.3500 threshold.
Bitcoin: Ceasefire lifts prices, but for how long?
Bitcoin (BTC) is up by 4% so far this week, trading above $72,000 on Friday. This price rise followed the US-Iran ceasefire announcement earlier this week. Institutional demand also supports the Crypto King price as spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recorded positive flows through Thursday.
US Dollar: Geopolitics cool, but the macro case still holds Premium
A dreadful week for the US Dollar (USD) saw the US Dollar Index (DXY) recede to the area of multi-week troughs near 98.50, an area also coincident with its critical 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).
Week ahead – US PPI data and ECB meeting minutes on tap
Fed rate cut bets return after ceasefire in Iran war. US PPI figures to test whether the Fed could resume rate reductions. ECB meeting minutes and UK data to test ECB and BoE expectations.
EDUCATION
Your trading plan is useless without this
Most traders focus obsessively on charts — but almost nobody asks what the market is actually telling them before they even open a single chart. Not through indicators. Not through patterns. But through the real forces that move markets first and move them hardest.
Prop trading comparison sites: Propinder vs PropFirmMatch
The rise of prop trading firms has created opportunity, but also confusion. With so many firms offering different challenges, rules, pricing models, and payouts, traders are increasingly turning to comparison tools like Propinder and PropFirmMatch to make sense of it all.
PRESS RELEASES
8 best AI crypto trading bots in the US (2026) – Safe & automated platforms for beginners
In today’s rapidly evolving cryptocurrency market, more investors are looking for smarter ways to generate passive income (passive income crypto) using AI crypto trading bots.
7 free quantum AI trading bots in 2026 to help you profit faster
In 2026, the idea of using quantum AI trading bots has become closely associated with speed, automation, and data-driven execution.
Spotware launches cTrader Leads – A new programme providing free leads to brokers
Spotware introduces cTrader Leads, a new programme that helps brokers attract prospective traders through cTrader products, and drive conversion to live trading at no extra cost.