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EUR/USD rises toward 1.1250 as USD weakens on midterm election outcome

EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and advances to the 1.1250 region on Wednesday. The US Dollar weakens and helps the pair push higher as US midterm elections showed the Democrats have gained majority in the US Senate and the House of Representatives, taking control of Congress from Republicans.

GBP/USD advances to seven-week high above 1.3450

GBP/USD rallies to a fresh high since September 16, trading above mid-1.3400s in the European session on Wednesday as Democrats’ wins in the House and Senate weigh heavily on the US Dollar. Moreover, the flight to safety triggers a fresh leg down in US bond yields, further exerting pressure on the buck and supporting the pair ahead of the BoE on Thursday.

Gold clings to gains near weekly top, comfortably above $4,000 as US elections hit USD

Gold clings to strong intraday gains near the weekly high, trading comfortably above the $4,000 psychological mark during early European session amid a broadly weaker US Dollar. Democrats’ wins in the House and Senate raise the prospect of gridlock in Washington. Moreover, heightened political uncertainty drove investors to safe-haven assets, exerting downward pressure on US bond yields. This is seen weighing on the Greenback and supporting the precious metal.

Bitcoin tests critical support, Ethereum struggles below resistance, XRP extends losses

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) remain under pressure on Wednesday as bearish momentum continues to weigh on prices. BTC approaches key support around $76,466, and a decisive close below could open the door to deeper losses. Meanwhile, ETH struggles below key resistance while XRP faces rejection at the upper trendline of a falling channel pattern, all hinting at deeper losses.

LATEST NEWS

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DEEPER DIVE

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions

The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.

Warsh is cutting the Fed's rate meetings. Fewer decisions, bigger moves

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will drop the interest rate vote from one Fed meeting a year in 2027 to two in 2028. More news will pile up before each remaining decision, so each should move rates and bond yields further. From the fall of 2027, the Fed will vote on interest rates at seven of its eight yearly meetings instead of all eight, and in 2028 at six.

The Fed can't fix this inflation. It's a mechanical weight, not a demand problem

Producer prices are rising 2.6 points faster than consumer prices, the widest gap since 2022, because most of the Iran war's costs haven't reached shoppers yet. The part that has is fuel, and rate hikes can't make fuel cheaper. The Producer Price Index (PPI), which tracks what US businesses get for the goods and services they sell, rose 6.3% through September.

CRYPTOCURRENCIES

Solana Price Forecast: SOL slides below $92 as downside risk grows

Solana remains under pressure, trading below $92 on Wednesday and declining more than 3.5% so far this week. Muted demand for US-listed spot Solana Exchange Traded Funds, rising short positions and overheated market conditions continue to weigh on sentiment, limiting recovery attempts.

Top 3 Price Predictions: BTC tests critical support, ETH struggles below resistance, XRP extends losses

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday as bearish momentum continues to weigh on prices. BTC approaches key support around $76,466, and a decisive close below could open the door to deeper losses. Meanwhile, ETH struggles below key resistance while XRP faces rejection at the upper trendline of a falling channel pattern, all hinting at deeper losses.

Bitcoin struggles to capitalize on US Dollar weakness as Democrats advance in US midterms

Bitcoin is down nearly 2% trading below $76,000, and testing the 200-day Exponential Moving Average baseline near $76,501. Bitcoin’s pullback aligns with the weakness in the US Dollar, which typically provides tailwinds for risk-sensitive assets. The selling pressure aligns with the US midterm elections as early results point to Democrats leading gains in both houses.

STOCKS

Strong iPhone sales fortify Apple's Q4 result

A robust fourth-quarter for Apple's (AAPL) iPhone sales helped the tech titan beat Wall Street's consensus on Monday. Apple reported $57.58 billion in iPhone sales in Q4, beating the average analyst estimate by more than a billion. However, AAPL stock shed close to 4% afterhours despite the top and bottom line beat.

Nasdaq 100 rebound looks strong… or is it just a trap?

The Nasdaq 100 spent the past few sessions recovering strongly from its November lows, rebounding from 24,307 and climbing back into the 25,100–25,150 mid-range zone. While the candles look convincing, the broader picture reveals a different story: the index remains trapped inside a 4H range structure.

WEEKLY FORECAST

EUR/USD: US President Donald Trump judgment day has come

The EUR/USD pair settled around 1.1160, down for the week and closing October with losses. The US Dollar (USD) advanced through the first half of the week but changed course after the Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy announcement, then fell further after the European Central Bank (ECB) reported the same decision. The Greenback regained some poise on Friday, as risk aversion took the lead.

European Central Bank faces 3-year-high inflation at 3.8%

The European Central Bank (ECB) faces a difficult monetary policy environment as Eurozone inflation reached 3.8% in September, its highest level in three years and almost twice the central bank's 2% target.

Gold: Bears dominate even as US yields push lower ahead of midterm election

Gold (XAU/USD) registered gains for the first three days of this week only to erase them in the second half and to drop to a fresh 2026-low below $3,900. Next week’s economic calendar will offer key macroeconomic data releases from the United States (US), which could trigger the next directional action in the precious metal.

Bitcoin: Binance security breach and hawkish Fed push BTC lower

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to weaken this week, down more than 3% and heading for its fourth straight weekly loss. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is facing a bearish outlook, fueled by a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) outlook at the October meeting and a reported $6.3 billion hack at Binance, which is driving risk aversion and triggering heavy liquidations.

US Dollar: A hawkish Fed is no longer enough

The US Dollar (USD) managed to regain some composure, ending the week with acceptable gains after surrendering some ground following earlier two-week highs. Indeed, the US Dollar Index (DXY), at some point in the last few days, popped to as high as the 102.50 zone, just to lose some momentum soon afterwards despite keeping its weekly bullish mood well in place.

Week ahead – Central bank and earnings bonanza could roil markets

Fed, ECB and BoJ to sit on the sidelines after September hikes. But RBNZ and BoC poised to lift borrowing costs. Inflation data out of the US, Japan, Australia to also be important.

EDUCATION

How economic uncertainty changes bullion buying patterns across generations

When the economy becomes uncertain, investors react differently depending on their goals and circumstances. But, generally, periods of high inflation, market volatility, or geopolitical tension push investors to look beyond traditional assets for ways to diversify and manage uncertainty.

You’re watching pre-market levels wrong [Video]

If you trade NQ, you’ve probably been told to watch the pre-market high and pre-market low. That part is easy. The harder question is: what are you actually supposed to do when price gets there? Most traders react too quickly, and that’s usually where the trouble starts.

PRESS RELEASES

Dubai Future Finance Week – day two: DIFC AI, FinTech and innovation ecosystem surpasses 2,000 firms as new report maps next phase of digital growth

The inaugural Dubai Future Finance Week, led by Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC), the leading global financial centre in the Middle East, Africa and South Asia (MEASA) region, continued today.

TradingPRO launches IDR 160 million trading contest for Indonesian traders

The IDR Trading Contest offers six competition categories and eight winners, with prizes paid directly into TradingPRO IDR Wallets.

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