Consumer Price Index


Firm US CPI data reinforce the Fed’s cautious stance

Breaking: US headline CPI rose by 2.7% YoY in June

The United States had an annual inflation rate of 2.7% in June when tracked by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), an increase from 2.4% in May, as revealed by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Tuesday. This figure matched the market forecast.

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What is the US CPI?

The Consumer Price Index released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistcs measures price movements by comparing the retail prices of a representative basket of goods and services. Inflation reduces the purchasing power of the US Dollar (USD), and the CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a higher CPI reading is seen as positive (bullish) for the USD, while a lower reading is viewed as negative (bearish).

Why it matters to traders?

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) has a dual mandate: to maintain price stability and achieve maximum employment. As part of this mandate, inflation is targeted at around 2%. Inflation became a critical challenge for the Fed, especially in the aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic, with the CPI reaching multi-decade highs due to persistent supply-chain issues and bottlenecks. The Fed decided to increase interest rates sharply to tame inflation.


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