NZD/USD FORECAST AND NEWS

NZD/USD hits two-month lows below 0.5750 after RBNZ Silk's departure

NZD/USD has come under moderate pressure, hitting two-month highs below 0.5750 early Wednesday, undermined by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Assistant Governor Karen Silk's departure from the bank. Silk was considered to be on the hawkish side of the policy board, having seen upside risks to inflation.

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US Dollar surges post-Fed, uncertainty remains

The EUR/USD pair closed the week below 1.1500, not far above a fresh multi-week low of 1.1454. The US Dollar (USD) rallied following the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement, the sole market catalyst this past week.

Gold: Bulls regain control; the next leg higher remains uncertain

The precious metal started the week in quite a bearish mood, further extending the almost uninterrupted leg lower after August tops near the $4,700 mark per troy ounce. However, market sentiment made a U-turn in the second half of the week. It was not the Federal Reserve (Fed), reignited geopolitical tensions, the US Dollar (USD) or Treasury yields.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.

Bitcoin: BTC shrugs off CLARITY Act setback and hawkish Fed

Bitcoin (BTC) price action has remained resilient this week, trading above $78,000 at the time of writing on Friday, heading toward a key resistance zone. Institutional demand shows early signs of weakness, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) on track for a second straight week of outflows, with over $420 million recorded through Thursday amid escalating Middle East tensions.

Forecasting the upcoming week: Trump, Xi, oil, tariffs and PMIs

A very positive week saw the US Dollar (USD) climb to new seven-week tops, mostly backed by the hawkish tilt at the FOMC event on Wednesday while unabated strength in Crude Oil prices have also underpinned the move during the first half of the week.

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INFLUENTIAL INSTITUTIONS AND PEOPLE FOR THE NZD/USD

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is New Zealand's central bank. Its primary role is to “give people, communities and businesses the confidence to spend, borrow and save money” by maintaining a sound and efficient monetary and financial system. The RBNZ achieves this by managing inflation to keep prices stable, regulating banks and finance companies, producing New Zealand’s banknotes and coins and operating effective wholesale payment and settlement systems.

The official website, on X and YouTube

The Federal Reserve (Fed)

The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States (US) and it has two main targets: to maintain the unemployment rate at its lowest possible levels and to keep inflation around 2%. The Federal Reserve System's structure is composed of the presidentially appointed Board of Governors and the partially appointed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC organizes eight scheduled meetings in a year to review economic and financial conditions. It also determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth.

Fed official website, on X and Facebook

RBNZ Governor Anna Breman

Anna Breman was appointed as Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Governor in December 2025 for a five-year term ending in November 2030. Breman had previously served as First Deputy Governor of the central bank of Sweden (Riksbank). She holds a PhD in Economics from the Stockholm School of Economics and has previously served as the group chief economist and global head of macro research at Swedbank. She has also worked at the Swedish Ministry of Finance and at the World Bank.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell took office as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in February 2018, for a four-year term ending in February 2022. His term as a member of the Board of Governors will expire on January 31, 2028. Born in Washington D.C., he received a bachelor’s degree in politics from Princeton University in 1975 and earned a law degree from Georgetown University in 1979. Powell served as an assistant secretary and as undersecretary of the Treasury under President George H.W. Bush. He also worked as a lawyer and investment banker in New York City. From 1997 through 2005, Powell was a partner at The Carlyle Group.

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About NZD/USD

The pair indicates how many US Dollars (USD) are required to purchase one New Zealand Dollar (NZD). Often seen as a minor currency, its relevance stems from New Zealand’s strong commercial ties with its neighbor, Australia, and China. The New Zealand Dollar is commonly referred to as 'the Kiwi', named after the bird that symbolizes New Zealand.