NZD/USD FORECAST AND NEWS
NZD/USD surges above 0.5950 due to dovish Fed policy outlook
NZD/USD extends its three-day winning streak, trading around 0.5960 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair continues to gain ground as the New Zealand Dollar advanced following the encouraging Chinese Trade Surplus and the rising RBNZ's Inflation Expectations data. China’s consumer and producer price data will likely be eyed on Saturday.
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EUR/USD trims losses, back above 1.1650
EUR/USD remains slightly on the back foot on Friday, trading around 1.1650 amid some modest recovery in the US Dollar. Investors, in the meantime, are expected to shift their attention to next week's US inflation data release. Fed officials' comments and trade news also remain in focus.
GBP/USD turns positive near 1.3450
GBP/USD now flirts with the 1.3450 zone, managing to bounce off daily lows as the Greenback’s advance loses some traction. The British Pound remains bolstered by the BoE's hawkish cut at its meeting on Thursday. Cable remains en route to close the week with marked gains.
Gold keeps the rangebound mood near $3,400
Gold seems to have entered a consolidation phase around $3,400 per troy ounce, giving up some gains after previous highs over $3,410. The announcement that the United States would tax one-kilo and 100-ounce gold bars is also supportive of the precious metal.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin uptrend takes a breather as Ethereum, XRP bulls tighten grip
The cryptocurrency market is relatively bullish on Friday, buoyed by renewed risk-on sentiment from both institutional and retail investors. Bitcoin surged toward the $118,000 round-figure resistance before retreating slightly to trade at around $116,525 at the time of writing.
Bank of England cuts rates in dramatic meeting
The Bank of England has cut rates by a further 25 basis points to 4% but the statement hints that officials think the easing cycle is nearing its end. Policymakers are visibly worried about a more persistent bout of inflation as the headline number is way higher than target.
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INFLUENTIAL INSTITUTIONS AND PEOPLE FOR THE NZD/USD
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is New Zealand's central bank. Its primary role is to “give people, communities and businesses the confidence to spend, borrow and save money” by maintaining a sound and efficient monetary and financial system. The RBNZ achieves this by managing inflation to keep prices stable, regulating banks and finance companies, producing New Zealand’s banknotes and coins and operating effective wholesale payment and settlement systems.
The official website, on X and YouTubeThe Federal Reserve (Fed)
The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States (US) and it has two main targets: to maintain the unemployment rate at its lowest possible levels and to keep inflation around 2%. The Federal Reserve System's structure is composed of the presidentially appointed Board of Governors and the partially appointed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC organizes eight scheduled meetings in a year to review economic and financial conditions. It also determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth.
Fed official website, on X and FacebookRBNZ Governor Christian Hawkesby
Christian Hawkesby is the interim Governor of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Hawkesby was appointed from April 8, 2025, and during six months while the recruitment of a new Governor to serve for a five-year term takes place. Hawkesby joined the RBNZ in 2019 and was appointed Deputy Governor-General Manager of the Financial Stability Group after serving as Assistant Governor. He previously helped establish Harbour Asset Management and spent nine years in senior roles at the Bank of England (BoE).
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell
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About NZD/USD
The pair indicates how many US Dollars (USD) are required to purchase one New Zealand Dollar (NZD). Often seen as a minor currency, its relevance stems from New Zealand’s strong commercial ties with its neighbor, Australia, and China. The New Zealand Dollar is commonly referred to as 'the Kiwi', named after the bird that symbolizes New Zealand.